Harsh truth of VC rejections

Only 6% Make the VC Cut

Only 6% Make The VC Cut

This week our data focuses on the probability of VC funding and the ROI of startups.

Today’s Insights 🔍 

  • Probability of VC funding

  • The VC firm spending $5 billion

  • VC Returns vs Stock Index

  • European startup funding

Read Time: 2.5 minutes

Welcome to SearchVentures, your weekly data-driven insights on the European startup market delivered straight to your inbox.

Last week we analyzed the probability of startup failure. Missed our write-up? Catch up here

Probability of VC funding 📊 

Av. number of VC investment proposals vs av. number of closed deals

A European VC receives an average of 851 startup pitches a year, only 6% receive funding. For government funds, the odds increase to 9%.

With the data from close to 900 European VC firms, they meet an average of 37% of the pitch proposals, 12% go through due diligence, 8% are handed a term sheet offer and 6% receive a funding commitment.

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Weekly Startups News 🧑‍💻

London VC Episode 1 raises £76m
The fund will invest in early-stage B2B startups in AI, biotech, open-source and more, using its proprietary data platform to source deals.

EIF Backs €1bn for Europe’s Top Venture Capital Funds
The three funds include Atomico Growth VI, FSI II and Keensight Nova VI. This move aligns with EIF’s aim to promote the use of digital technology across the continent.

Autonomous delivery robot startup raises $90M to expand its fleet.
Starship Technologies, led by Skype’s co-founder Ahti Heinla, has delivered over six million orders with its 2,000 robots across 80 locations worldwide.

Startup feature
How Atomico is investing $5 billion in European startups

Atomico manages several of the largest venture funds in Europe, with a total of $5 billion in capital targeting tech-centric startups.

Last year alone they raised $1.1 billion in new capital despite a 45% decline in VC funding for Europe

The billion-dollar question for startups is how Atomico chooses their investments.

Here is what we found:

> The majority of investment focuses on Series A & later, with check sizes of $5 to $25 million.

> Atomico specifically places a preference on founders with proven technical expertise.

> The investment approach focuses on startups that have an active product with a likely ‘inflection point for hyper growth’.

Despite the European VC market being regarded as more risk-averse, Atomico’s portfolio has actively invested in over 23 billion dollar unicorns and 130+ startups

VC Returns vs Stock Index ⚖️

Horizon pooled return (net) by fund index, 2023

Over two decades, European VC performance has matched or outperformed long-term benchmarks, with a 10 year return of 20%.

The negative returns for the one-year performance are largely caused by a lag time to profitability as startups leverage both VC capital and expertise. As such the record years of 2021 and 2022 have been a key driver of recent out-performance for startup investments.

Total VC funding 📊

Total startup capital in Europe vs capital raised by VCs, 2014-2023

With over $45 billion invested in European startups for 2023, a total of 32% was through venture capital deals.

Contrary to the North American market, reliant on the VC firms of Silicon Valley & New York, the startup capital of Europe places a greater emphasis on the role of government funding and family office investments.

 

SearchVentures Insights

A 6% chance of receiving European VC funding underscores the reality that only a select few startups make the cut. This selective process is likely a key driver for the funds to outperform the European public markets.

Additionally, the data on the European startup market brings to light the significance of external funding sources, accounting for 68% of startup investments. Highlighting the opportunity for startups to explore varied funding avenues in a competitive VC environment.

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Cheers,

Odin Lund & Hariprasad Mohandas

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